Mercyhurst
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 67.1719Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 9-17 225 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 4-21 305 A Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 5-22 311 A Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 9-14 314 A New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 11-14 321 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 16- 7 325 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 1-18 328 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 8-23 404 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 11-18 408 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 6-13 411 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 12- 7 418 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 17-13 422 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 10-12 425 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 10-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Kent State 9-17 -8 -10 + 2.05
225 H Duquesne 4-21 -17 -5 --- -9.43
305 A Canisius 5-22 -17 -15 0.00
311 A Iona 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.03
314 A New Haven 11-14 -3 -4 1.28
321 A Central Connecticut 16- 7 9 3 +++ 6.42
325 A Le Moyne 1-18 -17 -11 - -2.76
328 H Stonehill 8-23 -15 -10 -- -4.03
404 H Wagner 11-18 -7 -5 -1.59
408 H Fairleigh Dickinson 6-13 -7 -4 - -3.14
411 A Howard (DC) 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.96
418 H Delaware State 17-13 4 9 -- -4.81
422 H Robert Morris 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 4.90
425 A LIU 10-17 -7 -9 + 2.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Duquesne 4-21 -17 -5 --- -9.43 328 H Stonehill 8-23 -15 -10 -- -4.03 418 H Delaware State 17-13 4 9 -- -4.81 325 A Le Moyne 1-18 -17 -11 - -2.76 408 H Fairleigh Dickinson 6-13 -7 -4 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Central Connecticut 16- 7 9 3 +++ 6.42 411 A Howard (DC) 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.96 422 H Robert Morris 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 4.90 214 A Kent State 9-17 -8 -10 + 2.05 311 A Iona 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.03 425 A LIU 10-17 -7 -9 + 2.12 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 9-17 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.24 -14.03
3 H Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 4-21 -26.79 13.37 -1.37 1.24 -17.42
3 A Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 5-22 -18.75 21.42 1.37 1.24 -10.76
3 A Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 9-14 -27.07 13.10 1.37 1.24 -15.90
3 A New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 11-14 -29.81 10.35 1.37 1.24 -17.60
3 A Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 16- 7 -36.68 3.49 1.37 1.24 12.02
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 1-18 -22.86 17.31 1.37 1.24 -13.29
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 8-23 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 1.24 -14.08
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 11-18 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 1.24 -16.90
3 H Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 6-13 -27.50 12.67 -1.37 1.24 -17.86
3 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 12- 7 -32.13 8.03 1.37 1.24 23.26
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 17-13 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 1.24 -0.91
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 10-12 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 1.24 -15.98
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 10-17 -24.98 15.19 1.37 1.24 -14.61
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-134.06
|
winning pts = 34.3711 losing points = -168.4290
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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